Hot spot tracking
- The monthly rates of PPI and core PPI in the United States were 0.2% and 0.3%, respectively, both higher than expected but the previous values were revised down; the number of initial jobless claims in the United States rose modestly to 230,000 last week. Interest rate futures show that the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 50BP in September is 39%, which is bearish for the US dollar.
- The ECB cut interest rates for the second time this year, lowering the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points to 3.50%, the lowest since June 2023. GDP growth expectations for the next three years have been lowered across the board, and inflation expectations remain unchanged. After the ECB's interest rate decision, EUR/USD rose slightly, and major European stock indices fell. Traders cut their expectations for the ECB's interest rate cuts, and expect another 36 basis points of interest rate cuts before the end of the year. Short-term negative for the euro and European stocks.
- Affected by the hurricane, about 42% (730,000 barrels per day) of crude oil production facilities and 53% of natural gas production facilities in the Gulf of Mexico have been shut down. Bullish for crude oil and natural gas.
Product Hot Comment
- Forex
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open EUR/USD ▲0.56% 1.10742 1.10737 GBP/USD ▲0.62% 1.31252 1.31248 AUD/USD ▲0.72% 0.67255 0.67248 USD/JPY ▼-0.33% 141.811 141.829 GBP/CAD ▲0.69% 1.78224 1.78241 NZD/CAD ▲0.80% 0.83944 0.83937 📝 Review:On Thursday, the US dollar index began to fall in the European session and accelerated its decline in the US session. However, it still stood above the 101 mark and finally closed down 0.49% at 101.24. The US Treasury yield rebounded slightly, with the benchmark 10-year US Treasury yield closing at 3.678%; the two-year US Treasury yield finally closed at 3.650%.🕵️ Operation suggestion:USD/JPY 141.347 Sell Target Price 140.745
- Gold
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open Gold ▲1.85% 2558.65 2558.34 Silver ▲4.14% 29.855 29.863 📝 Review:Although the latest PPI data was mixed, the initial jobless claims data showed that the job market has cooled. Spot gold rose sharply before the US market, rising nearly $50 during the day and reaching $2,560, setting a new record high. It finally closed up 1.88% at $2,558.55 per ounce. Spot silver closed up 4.17% at $29.85 per ounce.🕵️ Operation suggestion:Gold 2559.77 Buy Target Price 2574.68
- Crude Oil
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open WTI Crude Oil ▲2.46% 68.437 68.425 Brent Crude Oil ▲1.92% 71.825 71.807 📝 Review:As the hurricane disrupted US oil production, international oil prices continued to rebound. WTI crude oil continued to rise during the day, and once rose to an intraday high of $69.02, and finally closed up 2.48% at $68.42 per barrel; Brent crude oil remained above the $70 mark, and finally closed up 1.93% at $71.81 per barrel.🕵️ Operation suggestion:WTI Crude Oil 68.579 Buy Target Price 69.570
- Indice
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open Nasdaq 100 ▲0.93% 19396.805 19413.995 Dow Jones ▲0.60% 41095.2 41123.6 S&P 500 ▲0.72% 5589.855 5596.055 ▼0.00% 17559.3 17559.3 US Dollar Index ▼-0.50% 101.08 100.99 📝 Review:The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed up 0.58%, the S&P 500 rose 0.75%, and the Nasdaq rose 1%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) rose nearly 2%, Micron Technology (MU.O) fell nearly 4%, and Wells Fargo (WFC.N) fell 4%. The Nasdaq China Golden Dragon Index closed down 0.8%, Alibaba (BABA.N) rose 0.8%, Douyu (DOYU.O) fell 13%, Xpeng Motors (XPEV.N) and NIO (NIO.N) fell more than 5%.🕵️ Operation suggestion:Nasdaq 100 19448.244 Buy Target Price 19612.465
- Crypto
Product Yesterday's Change Yesterday's Close Today's Open BitCoin ▲1.43% 58171.5 57913.9 Ethereum ▲0.34% 2349.3 2347.5 Dogecoin ▲0.67% 0.10184 0.10183 📝 Review:Currently, the $57,800 level has become a key support point for Bitcoin, which we can regard as the market’s “ice line”. If BTC can break through this level and stabilize above it, then we can expect the price to move towards the target of $63,000.🕵️ Operation suggestion:BitCoin 58054.0 Buy Target Price 59929.0
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