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Market News USD/JPY Declines Towards 144.00 As Japan Retail Trade Tests BoJ's Dovish Bias And Fed's Powell Assessed The 144.00 Level

USD/JPY Declines Towards 144.00 As Japan Retail Trade Tests BoJ's Dovish Bias And Fed's Powell Assessed The 144.00 Level

The USD/JPY accepts bids while reversing from a yearly high and halting a two-day uptrend. Japan reports a positive Retail Trade for the month of May while querying the dovish bias of BoJ Governor Ueda. Fed hawkish wagers and US-China tensions encourage Yen sellers. For fresh impetus, the Japan Consumer Confidence for June and Fed Chair Powell's speech will be crucial.

TOP1 Markets Analyst

2023-06-29

7825

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During the early hours of Tokyo trading on Thursday, USD/JPY accepts offers to refresh intraday lows near 144.20 as it consolidates weekly gains at the highest levels since November 2022. In doing so, the Japanese Yen (JPY) pair justifies the optimistic readings of Japan Retail Trade figures despite a lacklustre trading session preceding key data/events.

Japan's Retail Trade grew 5.7% year-over-year in May, compared to 5.4% expected and 5.1% previously (revised), while seasonally adjusted figures reversed the previous contraction of 1.2% with a 1.3% gain in the month's main statistics, compared to -0.2% market forecasts.

It should be noted that the US Dollar's retreat from its weekly high gives USD/JPY investors a breather. In spite of this, the US Dollar Index (DXY) shows slight losses near 102.90 as of press time after breaking a two-day downtrend and reclaiming the weekly high the day before.

Nevertheless, hawkish remarks from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell and Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda's defence of easy-money policy appeared to have pushed the USD/JPY pair prices to a new yearly high the day before.

In his speech at the European Central Bank (ECB) Forum on central banking on Wednesday, Chairman of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Jerome Powell stated, "We believe there will be additional restrictions, driven by the labour market." The policymaker also excluded the economic recession as the most probable scenario.

However, Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda defended the dovish posture by stating, "(There is) still some distance to go in achieving 2% inflation and sufficient wage growth in a sustainable manner." Governor Ueda of the Bank of Japan added that the Japanese economy will expand marginally above potential for some time.

In this environment, S&P500 Futures post modest gains despite Wall Street's muddled close and yields' inactivity after yesterday's decline.

In addition, Japan's Consumer Confidence for June, anticipated to be 36,2 versus 36.0 previously, precedes Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's speech in Madrid to influence intraday USD/JPY fluctuations. The revised version of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for the first quarter (Q1) 2023 and second-tier employment data will also be crucial to monitor.