NZD/USD Gains Momentum Above 0.5900; Investors Await US CPI Data
NZD/USD remains above the 0.5900 level despite a weakening USD. In August, the Food Price Index (FPI) for New Zealand increased 0.5% compared to a decrease of 0.5% in July. The dollar may benefit from the belief that US interest rates will remain elevated for an extended period. Wednesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is anticipated by traders.

The NZD/USD pair acquires traction above the 0.5900 level during Wednesday's early Asian session. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) appreciates in advance of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) in response to a decline in the US Dollar (USD). After retracing from a peak of 104.90, the US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the USD's value relative to a portfolio of global currencies, is hovering around 104.50.
The most recent information from Statistics New Zealand revealed on Wednesday that the Food Price Index (FPI) for August increased by 0.5% compared to the previous month, when it fell by 0.5%. This week, the nation's August Electronic Card Retail Sales came in at 3.7% year-over-year, up from 2.2% in the previous reading, while the monthly figure increased 0.7% from 0% previously. The July Visitor Arrivals decreased by 59.3% year-over-year from the previous reading of 88.5%. The headlines surrounding the US-China relationship and China's economic condition will continue to influence the New Zealand dollar for the time being.
In addition, US Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo is scheduled to meet with the CEOs of major American corporations this week, two weeks after her trip to China, where she expressed concern over the business climate. The renewed trade war tensions between the United States and China may exert some selling pressure and act as a headwind for the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), which represents China.
On the front of the US Dollar, the higher for longer interest rate narrative in the United States may benefit the Greenback. According to the CME Fedwatch Tool, there is a 93% probability that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will maintain the current interest rate range of 5.25%-5.50% in September. However, the market has priced in a 56% probability that the Fed will hold its current monetary policy unchanged in its November meeting.
Wednesday's focus will be on the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August. The annual rate is projected to increase from 3.2% to 3.6%, while the core rate is projected to decrease from 4.7% to 4.4%. The data could cause volatility in the foreign exchange market and affect expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
On Wednesday, market participants will keenly monitor the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The US Retail Sales and Producer Price Index (PPI) will be released on Thursday of this week. Also, the August Business NZ PMI for New Zealand will be released on Friday. These figures could provide guidance for the NZD/USD pair.
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