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On Thursday, Ethereum (ETH) decreased by 1.47%. The price of ETH closed the day at $1,878 after erasing some of its Wednesday rise of 1.82%. ETH avoided sub-$1,850 for the first time in four sessions despite the negative day.

The price of ETH increased to a late-morning high of $1,919 after the day began in a range. As ETH failed to reach the First Major Resistance Level (R1) at $1,934, it dropped as low as $1,868 in the late afternoon. However, ETH returned to the $1,880 handle before easing down, avoiding the First Major Support Level (S1) at $1,861.

US Economic Indicators Signal the Beginning of the US Recession

The afternoon saw a decline in buyer interest due to US economic statistics. As the effects of the Fed's interest rate rises become increasingly apparent, the most recent batch of US labor market data showed additional flaws in the US economy.

Initial claims for unemployment rose from 229,00 to 242,00 while nonfarm production fell by 2.7% in Q1. Unit labor expenses, however, increased by 6.3%. According to economists, nonfarm production will decrease by 1.8%, while unit labor expenses would rise by 5.5%.

Significantly, the most recent economic data eliminated wagers on an interest rate increase in June.

The chance of a 25-basis point interest rate increase in June decreased from 16.3% to 0% during the course of a single day, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. On the other hand, wagers on an interest rate reduction of 25 basis points went up from 6.6% to 9.2%.

The debt ceiling debate and the financial crisis continued to be political headwinds on Capitol Hill, although they limited Thursday's decline.

ETH Bullish Staking and Withdrawal

Mixed signals were produced by the withdrawal profile and staking data.

Staking decreased from 193,184 ETH on Wednesday to 109,792 ETH on Thursday, according to CryptoQuant. Inflows exceeding 100,000 are signs of rising prices.

The increase in staking inflows encouraged the northward movement of the total amount staked.

The withdrawal profile changed overnight, becoming more bearish and showing an increase in main withdrawals. A forecast of small principle withdrawals, however, is an optimistic sign for prices.

A positive net staking balance was produced by the staking inflows. On Thursday, there was a surplus of 54,370 ETH, or $101.58 million, in the net ETH staking balance. There were 143,450 ETH in withdrawals compared to 197,820 ETH in deposits.

TokenUnlocks reports that there were 0.332 million ETH, or around $0.630 billion, in awaiting withdrawals.

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