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Market News 0.8450 is being approached by EUR/GBP as the likelihood of a UK recession rises

0.8450 is being approached by EUR/GBP as the likelihood of a UK recession rises

The EUR/GBP currency pair is moving quickly toward 0.8450 as the consensus UK inflation rate surged to 13%. More problems will arise for the BOE as a result of lower profits and current greater inflation predictions. German factory orders decreased by 0.4 percent as opposed to the 0.2 percent previously reported.

Daniel Rogers

2022-08-05

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Following a massive upward movement from 0.8360 on Thursday, the EUR/GBP pair has since turned sideways at 0.8430 in the Tokyo session. After the Bank of England (BOE) increased interest rates by 50 basis points, the cross showed a sharp upward movement (bps). The BOE increased interest rates by 50 basis points in succession, bringing them to 1.75 percent.

The investment community is aware that UK household wages have been unstable over the previous few months. In addition, the economy's inflation rate is rapidly increasing. The inflation rate was 9.4 percent before. The BOE Governor Andrew Bailey's recent claim that pricing pressures might reach 13 percent has wreaked havoc on market participants' emotions.

The runaway inflation is now accelerating, leaving the BOE with very little flexibility to tighten its monetary policy. Due to the weak economic statistics and the ongoing political unrest following the departure of UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson, the BOE is in a bad condition. A recession in the UK economy is quite possible in the event that the inflation rate is close to 13 percent.

German factory order figures for the Eurozone have contracted by 0.4 percent vs an anticipated 0.8 percent contraction and a previous monthly contraction of 0.2 percent. A decline in factory orders is a sign of Germany's weak overall demand. It is important to remember that Germany is an integral part of the European Union (EU), and that economic data from Germany has a big influence on those who support the common currency.